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Why Australia Bet the House on Lasting American Power in Asia

SYDNEY, Australia — When Scott Morrison became Australia’s prime minister three years ago, he insisted that the country could maintain close ties …

Why Australia Bet the House on Lasting American Power in Asia

SYDNEY, Australia — When Scott Morrison became Australia’s prime minister three years ago, he insisted that the country could maintain close ties with China, its largest trading partner, while working with the United States, its main security ally.

“Australia doesn’t have to choose,” he said in one of his first foreign policy speeches.

On Thursday, Australia effectively chose. Following years of sharply deteriorating relations with Beijing, Australia announced a new defense agreement in which the United States and Britain would help it deploy nuclear-powered submarines, a major advance in Australian military strength.

With its move to acquire heavy weaponry and top-secret technology, Australia has thrown in its lot with the United States for generations to come — a “forever partnership,” in Mr. Morrison’s words. The agreement will open the way to deeper military ties and higher expectations that Australia would join any military conflict with Beijing.

It’s a big strategic bet that America will prevail in its great-power competition with China and continue to be a dominant and stabilizing force in the Pacific even as the costs increase.

“It really is a watershed moment — a defining moment for Australia and the way it thinks about its future in the Indo-Pacific region,” said Richard Maude, a former Australian security official who is now a senior fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute.

“It does represent really quite sharp concerns now in the Morrison government about a deteriorating security environment in the region, about China’s military buildup and about China’s willingness to use coercive power to pursue national interests,” he said.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison of Australia during a news conference with Prime Minister Boris Johnson of Britain and President Biden.Credit…Mick Tsikas/EPA, via Shutterstock

Clearly, the United States also made a choice: that the need for a firm alliance to counter Beijing is so urgent that it would set aside longstanding reservations about sharing sensitive nuclear technology. Australia will become only the second country — after Britain in 1958 — to be given access to the American submarine technology, which allows for stealthier movement over longer distances.

Zhao Lijian, a spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said during a regular news briefing in Beijing that the submarine agreement would “seriously damage regional peace and stability, exacerbate an arms race and harm international nuclear nonproliferation agreements,” Global Times, a Chinese newspaper controlled by the Communist Party, reported.

“This is utterly irresponsible conduct,” Mr. Zhao said.

For the United States, the decision to bolster a close Asia-Pacific ally represents a tangible escalation of its efforts to answer China’s rapid military growth. The Defense Department said in its most recent report to Congress that China now had the largest navy in the world, measured in numbers of vessels, having built a fleet of approximately 350 ships by 2019, including a dozen nuclear submarines.

By comparison, the U.S. Navy has around 293 ships. While American vessels tend to be larger, China is also catching up with aircraft carriers while surpassing the United States with smaller, agile ships.

At the same time, China has moved aggressively to secure locations for outposts and missiles, building up its presence on islands that it constructed in the South China Sea. Security analysts believe that Australia would be likely to use nuclear-powered submarines to patrol the important shipping lanes there, in waters also claimed by Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia. The choice of vessel, they said, sends an unmistakable message.

“Nothing is more provocative to China than nuke stuff and submarine stuff,” said Oriana Skylar Mastro, who is a fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University and at the American Enterprise Institute. “China’s so weak in anti-submarine warfare in comparison to other capabilities.”

“To me,” said Ms. Mastro, a regular visitor to Australia, “it suggests that Australia is willing to take some real risks in its relationship to stand up to China.”

The U.S. Defense Department says China now has the largest naval fleet in the world.Credit…Pool photo by Mark Schiefelbein

American and Australian officials, seeking to douse proliferation concerns, emphasized that the submarines were nuclear-powered but had nothing to do with nuclear weapons. The promise of eight American vessels coincided with Australia’s cancellation of a contract for 12 conventional French-designed submarines that had been delayed and running over budget. French officials reacted angrily, calling the abandonment of the deal a betrayal of trust.

Speaking Thursday, Mr. Morrison said the reinforced security alliance with the United States and Britain, which will include collaborations on artificial intelligence and other emerging technology, reflected the needs of a more dangerous dynamic in the Asia-Pacific region.

“The relatively benign environment we’ve enjoyed for many decades in our region is behind us,” he said, without directly mentioning China. “We have entered a new era with new challenges for Australia and our partners.”

Some security analysts argued that China’s recent retaliation against Australia over its harder line — slashing imports of coal, wine, beef, lobsters and barley, along with detaining at least two Australian citizens of Chinese descent — appeared to have pushed Australia in the Americans’ direction. In response, China may extendits campaign of economic sanctions. Australia seems to have calculated that Beijing has little interest in improving relations.

“I think the fear of doing this would have been much more palpable even three or four years ago, maybe even two years ago,” said Euan Graham, an Asia-Pacific security analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies who is based in Singapore. “But once your relationship is all about punishment and flinging of insults, frankly, then that’s already priced in. China doesn’t have the leverage of fear, of being angry, because it’s angry all the time.”

A looming question, according to critics of Australia’s steadfast faith in the United States, is whether Washington will measure up. Ever since President Barack Obama announced a “pivot to Asia,” speaking before Australia’s Parliament in 2011, America’s allies have been waiting for a decisive shift in resources and attention. For the most part, they have been disappointed.

Dr. Graham said that the submarine deal would temper some of that criticism. For other allies like Japan and South Korea, he said: “It answers that question that the U.S. is still engaging in its alliance network in this part of the world.”

Still, the agreement did not erase all doubts about America’s commitment to countering China and defending its role as the dominant power in a complex region far from Washington and much closer to Beijing.

An Australian Navy vessel moored in Sydney in April.Credit…Mark Baker/Associated Press

Sam Roggeveen, director of the international security program at the Lowy Institute, a research center in Sydney, said that over the long term, the United States might decide that the contest with China is too costly, forcing some degree of power sharing and reduced influence.

“The U.S. has never faced a great power of China’s size in its history,” he said. “It has never faced down a challenger like this.”

An alternative risk is that the American pushback against China spirals into a conflict that Australia, because of its bolstered partnership, cannot avoid. The two superpowers have experienced deepening tensions over Taiwan, the self-ruled island that Beijing claims as Chinese territory. The United States says that using force to determine Taiwan’s fate would be of “grave concern,” leaving open the possibility of military intervention.

“As the U.S.-China rivalry escalates, the United States will expect Australia to do more,” said Hugh White, a defense analyst at the Australian National University and a former military official.

“If the U.S. is allowing Australia to have access to its nuclear technology,” he added, “it’s because the U.S. expects Australia to be deploying its forces in a potential war with China.”

For now, the Australian government appears to view even that risk as worth taking on. James Curran, a historian of Australian foreign relations at the University of Sydney, called the decision to double down on the United States “the biggest strategic gamble in Australian history.”

“Australia is betting its house,” he said, “on the U.S. maintaining its resolve and will.”

Sui-Lee Wee contributed reporting.

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escortaksaray escortamasya escortankara escortantalya escortantep escortardahan escortartvin escortaydın escortbalıkesir escortbartın escortbatman escortbayburt escortbilecik escortbingol escortbitlis escortbolu escortburdur escortbursa escortçanakkale escortçankırı escortçorum escortdenizli escortdiyarbakır escortdüzce escortedirne escortelazığ escorterzincan escorterzurum escorteskişehir escortgiresun escortgümüşhane escorthakkari escorthatay escortığdır escortısparta escortistanbul escortizmir escortizmit escortkarabük escortkaraman escortkars escortkastamonu escortkayseri escortkıbrıs escortkilis escortkırıkkale escortkırklareli escortkırşehir escortkocaeli escortkonya escortkütahya escortmalatya escortmanisa escortmaraş escortmardin escortmersin escortmuğla escortmuş escortnevşehir escortniğde escortordu escortosmaniye escortrize escortsakarya escortsamsun escortsiirt escortsinop escortşırnak escortsivas escorttekirdağ escorttokat escorttrabzon escorttunceli escortzonguldak escorturfa escortuşak escortvan escortyalova escortyozgat escorterkeklerde sertleşmeye iyi gelen ilaçlarsertleştirici hap eczane fiyatlarıvega 100 mg hapfuck googledolandırıcı hesap satışıbacklink alToscanello Blu Anice AnasonToscanello CappuccinoToscanello Cioccolato ÇikolataToscanello GrappaToscanello LimoncelloToscanello MacchiatoToscanello Rosso CaffeToscanello RubinoToscanello VanilyaToscanello PuroToscanello Cappuccino PuroAvrupa yakası escortAksaray escortAtaköy escortAtaşehir escortAvcılar escortBahçelievler escortBahçeşehir escortBakırköy escortBaşakşehir escortBeşiktaş escortBeylikdüzü escortBostancı escortBüyükçekmece escortEsenyurt escortEtiler escortFatih escortHalkalı escortKadıköy escortKartal escortKüçükçekmece escortMaltepe escortMecidiyeköy escortMerter escortPendik escortRus escortŞirinevler escortŞişli escortTaksim escortTopkapı escortümraniye escortZeytinburnu escortgaziantep escortalanya escorttekirdağ escortşanlıurfa escortşanlıurfa escortsamsun escortbolu escortbodrum escortbeylikdüzü escortyozgat escortyalova escortvan escortuşak escorturfa escorttrabzon escorttokat escorttokat escortsivas escorturfa escortsakarya escortsakarya escortrize escortniğde escortniğde escortmuğla escortmuğla escortmarmaris escortmardin escortmardin escortmaraş escortmanisa escortmanisa escortkütahya escortkocaeli escortkocaeli escortkıbrıs escortkastamonu escortkars escortısparta escortgümüşhane escortgiresun escortgaziantep escortzonguldak escortzonguldak escortyozgat escortyalova escortvan escorttrabzon escorttekirdağ escortsivas escortsamsun escortordu escortmersin escortmaraş escortmalatya escortkütahya escortkuşadası escortkonya escortkayseri escortkastamonu escortısparta escorthatay escortgiresun escorteskişehir escorterzurum escorttekirdağ escortdiyarbakır escortçorum escortçeşme escortburdur escortbolu escortmalatya escortdenizli escortbodrum escortbalıkesir escortafyon escortbalıkesir escortaydın escortartvin escortantep escortantalya escortağrı 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escortbolu escortbeylikdüzü escortmalatya escortadana escortafyon escorteskişehir escorterzurum escorterzurum escorterzincan escortelazığ escortelazığ escortelazığ escortelazığ escortedirne escortedirne escortdüzce escortdiyarbakır escortdidim escortdenizli escortçorum escortçeşme escortçeşme escortçanakkale escortçanakkale escortçanakkale escortburdur escortbolu escortbodrum escortbodrum escortbalıkesir escortaydın escortartvin escortartvin escortantep escortantep escortalanya escortağrı escortafyon escortadana escortantalya escortalanya escortalanya escortAmazon Prime izleBeIN Connect izleBlutv izleDisney Plus izleexxen izleGain TV izleNetflix izleAmazon prime izleBlutv izleDisney Plus izlebeylikdüzü escorteryaman escortcaptain blackkalpli sigarasertleştirici hap eczane fiyatlarışişme bebeksertleşme sağlayıcı ilaçlar ve isimleriviagra fiyatManchester Double Drive SigaraKing Edward imperial puroadana escort1xbet kayıt1xbet casino1xbetpenis sertleştirici cinsel haplarescortAydın 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escort bayanEscort ankaraEscort Bayan İstanbulümraniye escortüsküdar escortzeytinburnu escortkadıköy escortkağıthane escortkartal escortmaltepe escortkeçiören escortmanavgat escortalanya escortbodrum escortkuşadası escortdidim escortarnavutköy escortsilifke escortbelek escortşişli escortpendik escortkarşıyaka escortseyhan escortnilüfer escortesenler escortbeylikdüzü escortİstanbul escortİstanbul escort bayanEscort istanbulBayan escortEscort bayanescortseoboşalmayı geciktirici haplargeciktirici kremlergeciktirici spreylerpenis büyütücü haplarbayan azdırıcı damlabayan azdırıcı haperken boşalma geciktirici ilaçlarpenis büyütücü çeşitleribayan cinsel istek arttırıcılarcialis fiyatıviagra fiyatlarıbayan cinsel istek arttırıcılarerken boşalmayı geciktirici ilaç çeşitleripenis büyütücü ürün çeşitlerierken boşalmayı geciktirici ilaç çeşitleribayan cinsel istek arttırıcı damlageciktirici sprey çeşitlerien iyi geciktirici kremkadın istek arttırıcı damlaen iyi bayan azdırıcı ilaçcialis fiyatı eczaneviagra eczane fiyatıerken boşalmayı geciktirici haplargeciktirici krem çeşitleripenis büyütücü haplarcinsel gücü arttırıcı ilaçlarbayan azdırıcı ilaçlaren iyi geciktirici ilaç isimleripenis büyütücü kremen iyi bayan cinsel istek arttırıcılargeciktirici haplargeciktirici kremler çeşitlerikadın azdırıcı çeşitlerigeciktirici ilaç çeşitleripenis büyütücü çeşitlerieczane cialis fiyatıviagra eczane fiyatlarıbayan azdırıcı ilaçlaren iyi geciktiricilerpenis büyütücülerbayan uyarıcılarerken boşalmayı geciktiren ilaçlarpenis büyütücülerviagra eczane satış fiyatlarıeczane cialis fiyatıerken boşalmayı geciktirici ilaçlargeciktirici krem fiyatlarıgeciktirici sprey eczaneen etkili büyütücülerbayan istek arttırıcı çeşitlerien iyi bayan cinsel istek artırıcılarerken boşalmayı geciktirici ilaçcialis eczanecialis eczanede kaç tlADANA ESCORTANKARA ESCORTANTALYA ESCORTMERSİN ESCORTİZMİR ESCORTKAYSERİ ESCORTKONYA ESCORTAnadolu Yakası Escortavrupa yakası escortcialis fiyatıcinsel ereksiyon ilaçlarıcialis fiyatlarıviagra fiyatıcialis fiyatı eczaneFlynta 20 Mgkamagra 100 mgOrcafil 20 MgLifta 5 MgHardcis 5 MgLex 20 MgLevitra 20 MgPriligy 30 MgVigaroo 100 MgHardcis 20 MgAfilta 20 MgHardcis 20 Mgdegralifta 20 mgankara escortantalya escortizmir escortmersin escortCinsel sağlık ürünleriCinsel performans ürünleriGeciktirici ürünlerSertleştirici haplarKamagra jelKamagra jel fiyatKamagra jel eczaneVega 100 mgVega 100 mg fiyatViagraViagra fiyatViagra 100 mg fiyatViagra 30 lu fiyatCialisCialis fiyatCialis 20 mg fiyatCialis 100 mg fiyatCialis 30 lu tablet fiyatCialis 5 mg fiyatankara escortantalya escortizmir escortAdıyaman EscortArtvin EscortBilecik EscortBingöl EScortBitlis EscortBurdur EscortÇankırı EscortÇorum EscortGiresun EscortGümüşhane EscortKars EscortKastamonu EscortKırklareli EscortKırşehir EscortNevşehir EscortErzincan EscortNiğde EscortOrdu EscortSiirt EscortSinop EscortBayburt EscortKaraman EscortKırıkkale EscortBatman EscortŞırnak EscortBartın EscortArdahan Escortığdır EscortKarabük EscortOsmaniye EscortDüzce EscortKilis EscortAdana EscortAnkara EscortAntalya EscortAydın EscortBursa EscortDenizli EscortDiyarbakır EscortEskişehir EscortAntep EscortHatay EscortMersin Escortizmir EscortKayseri EscortKocaeli EscortKonya EscortMalatya EscortMardin EscortSakarya EscortSamsun EscortTrabzon EscortYalova EscortAdıyaman EscortAfyon EscortVan EscortAğrı EscortAmasya EscortBalıkesir EscortBilecik EscortBolu EscortBurdur EscortÇanakkale EscortEdirne EscortElazığ EscortErzincan EscortErzurum Escortısparta EscortKars EscortKastamonu EscortManisa EscortKütahya EscortMuğla EscortRize EscortSivas EscortTekirdağ EscortUrfa EscortOrdu EscortNevşehir EscortMaraş EscortZonguldak Escortadana escortalanya escortankara escortantalya escortaydın escortbursa escortçorlu escortdenizli escortdiyarbakır escortelazığ escorteskişehir escortgaziantep escortizmir escortkayseri escortkocaeli escortkonya escortmalatya escortmersin escortpendik escortsakarya escortsamsun escorttrabzon escortadana escortankara escortalanya escortantalya escortaydın escortbursa escortçorlu escortdenizli escortdiyarbakır escortelazığ escorteskişehir escortgaziantep escortistanbul escortizmir escortizmit escortkayseri escortkocaeli escortkonya escortmalatya escortmersin escortsakarya escortsamsun escorttrabzon escort520 Kalpli Sigara Kavunlu520 Kalpli Sigara Liçi Kral Meyvesicialis eczane fiyatı 2023viagra eczane fiyatı 2023free shopbayan azdırıcılarerken boşalmayı geciktiricilerviagra fiyatı 2023cialis fiyatı 2023eczanede satılan sertleştirici ilaçlarbeylikdüzü escortcialiscialiscialis 100 mgviagra 30 lu tabletkadın azdırıcıereksiyon haplarıgeciktirici spreypenis büyütmeviagrakamagracinsel ilaçlarcialis 5 mgcialis 20 mgcinsel eczanebayan azdırıcı eczaneistek arttırıcı damlacinsel güç arttırıcı ilaçlareczanelerde satılan geciktiricilerkamagra jelorjinal viagracialis 5 mgviagraeczane sağlıkcialis fiyatviagra fiyatkamagra jelcialis 100 mgviagra 30 lucialis 20 mggeciktirici spreybayan azdırıcı ilaçlarkadın azdırıcı damlasertleştirici ilaçlarpenis büyütücücialis 5 mgcialiscialis 5 mgKamagra jelCialis fiyatViagra fiyatEreksiyon haplarıCinsel sağlık ürünleriCinsel ilaçlarBayan azdırıcı damlaCialis fiyatViagra fiyatKamagra jelGeciktirici spreyCinsel performans artırıcı ürünlerBayan azdırıcı hapCialis 30 lu tabletpenis sertleştirici ilaç isimlericialis fiyatı 2023 eczaneviagra eczane satış fiyatı 2023lifta fiyatı eczanepenis sertleştirici ilaç çeşitlerieczane cialis fiyatıorijinal viagra fiyatıfx15 orijinal zayıflama hapıyapay kızlık zarı siparişvajina daraltıcı kremyalova escortmuğla escortaydın escorttrabzon escortkütahya escortçanakkale escortbalıkesir escortmanisa escorttekirdağ escortkahramanmaraş escortelazığ escortsivas escortşanlıurfa escorterzurum escortamasya escortvan escortrize escortgiresun escortordu escorttokat escortyozgat escortçorum escortmond sigarabayan azdırıcı damla çeşitlerikamagra jel eczane fiyatıafyon escortbalıkesir escortkütahya escortmanisa escortbolu escortmuğla escortbodrum escortmarmaris escortedirne escortkeşan escortriz escorterzincan escorthatay escortçorlu escortDating Escortkonya escortmersin escortadana escortbursa escortmalatya escortkayseri escortaydın escortMilano Coffee Sigara Kahve AromalıMilano Gum Sigara Sakız Aromalıoris sigaraelazığ escortkocaeli escortizmir escortkayseri escortgaziantep escortadana escortkonya escortümraniye escortizmit escorteskişehir escortmersin escortIstanbul Escortsamsun escortvan escortaydın escortedirne escortaksaray escortantalya escortescort antalyaescortAdana Escortadıyaman escortafyon escortağrı escortaksaray escortamasya escortankara escortantalya escortardahan escortartvin escortaydın escortbalıkesir escortpung hile satın albartın escortbatman escortbayburt escortbilecik escortbingöl escortbitlis escortbolu escortburdur escortbursa escortçanakkale escortçankırı escortçorum escortdenizli escortdiyarbakır escortdüzce escortedirne escortelazığ escorterzincan escorterzurum 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