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After a Long Lockdown and Vaccination Campaign, Is England on the Road to Normality?

LONDON — For the past week, it has been the most eagerly awaited number in the land, posted each day at 4 p.m. by the British government. When it …

After a Long Lockdown and Vaccination Campaign, Is England on the Road to Normality?

LONDON — For the past week, it has been the most eagerly awaited number in the land, posted each day at 4 p.m. by the British government. When it rose by 4,223 on Wednesday, reversing seven straight days of declines, it was a reminder that the country’s path out of pandemic has a few twists left in it.

The number of new coronavirus cases in the United Kingdom, which stood at 27,743 on Wednesday, is still only half the recent high of 54,674 on July 17. That came two days before Prime Minister Boris Johnson threw off most social-distancing restrictions in England in defiance of those who said it would fuel a massive surge of infections.

The reduction in cases has confounded scientists and drawn warnings from Mr. Johnson and other officials who say it is too soon to declare victory — a caution that may be vindicated by the latest uptick. Yet inevitably, after 16 months of lockdowns and a robust vaccination campaign, the generally downward trend has fanned hopes that the country might finally be on the road to normality.

Adding to those hopes, England announced that fully vaccinated travelers from the United States and the European Union would be allowed to enter without going into quarantine. The gesture, effective Monday, has not yet been reciprocated by the United States or some European countries, but it nonetheless eases the isolation that many Britons felt as other parts of the world had begun to reopen.

“It’s ironic that with one of the best vaccination programs in the world, we’ve been so utterly isolated,” said Steven Freudmann, chairman of the Institute of Travel and Tourism, an industry group that lobbied for the changes. “But now there seems to be significant light at the end of the tunnel.”

Whether the end is in sight for England’s broader campaign against the virus is less clear. While the number of new cases rose modestly on Wednesday, the number of deaths fell, as did the number of people hospitalized — a metric that many experts say is the most meaningful since it shows whether vaccines are effective in breaking the link between infection and serious illness.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson ended most social-distancing restrictions in England in defiance of those who said it would fuel a massive surge of infections.Credit…Pool photo by Peter Cziborra

Still, with the highly transmissible Delta variant circulating in the population, the focus on cases is understandable. When Mr. Johnson lifted all but a few restrictions on July 19 — a milestone British tabloids proclaimed “Freedom Day” — his own health secretary, Sajid Javid, warned that cases could balloon to 100,000 a day.

Such predictions gave the government’s move a decidedly hollow feeling; many people worried that it was simply hastening a dangerous third wave of infections. The sense of dissonance was deepened by the fact that Mr. Johnson himself was forced to go into self-isolation after being in contact with Mr. Javid, who had tested positive for the virus, even after having been fully vaccinated.

Now, having steeled itself for a resurgence, England is instead struggling to make sense of a morass of conflicting data.

Scientists venture various theories for the lower level of cases: the school summer vacation, which cut off a chain of transmission; the end of the European soccer championships, which packed stadiums and pubs; the warm weather, which has lured people outdoors; and a decline in the number of people getting tested — either because they are students, no longer being tested in school, or because they are shunning tests to avoid having their vacation plans disrupted by a positive result. After oscillating around one million tests a day last week, the final week many schools in England were in session, the number of people being tested has dropped to roughly 800,000 a day.

Some suggest that after living with the virus for a year-and-a-half, people are simply being more cautious.

Pedestrians in London this week.Credit…Tolga Akmen/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

“They haven’t changed their behavior as much, even if the legal restrictions changed,” said Devi Sridhar, the head of the global public health program at the University of Edinburgh. “Eighteen months of pandemic has showed people how to stay safe.”

Professor Sridhar said she expected to see a spike in cases, particularly among young people, in September after schools reopen. The British government has so far decided not to vaccinate children aged 12 to 18, arguing that their resilience to effects of Covid-19 reduces the benefits of inoculating them.

Other scientists also say there could be a resurgence in cases. But given that 71 percent of adults are fully vaccinated, some are venturing predictions that Britain could soon reach the threshold of herd immunity.

“I think I’m positive that by late September, October time, we will be looking back at most of the pandemic,” said Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist at Imperial College London known for his gloomy scenarios.

The relaxation of travel restrictions was a major stride toward normalcy. Britain had been criticized for discriminating between travelers who were vaccinated in Britain and those who were inoculated elsewhere, without any medical justification.

Vaccinated people arriving in England from most countries on the government’s “amber list,” those with moderately high transmission, have been required to quarantine — unless they received their shots in Britain.

London this week.Credit…Tolga Akmen/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Under the new rules, travelers from the United States, the European Union, Iceland, Norway, or Switzerland who have been fully vaccinated with shots authorized by either American or European drug regulators will no longer have to quarantine, though they will still be required to take a test after arriving.

The new policy applies only to England, not to the whole of Britain. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland make their own decisions about foreign travelers.

“We’re helping reunite people living in the U.S. and European countries with their family and friends in U.K.,” the transport secretary, Grant Shapps, wrote on Twitter.

But European Union and British residents are still mostly banned from traveling to the United States unless they are American citizens. On Monday, the Biden administration said it would continue to restrict the entry of Europeans and British into the United States, saying they could further spread the Delta variant.

For British officials, the biggest challenge over the coming days may be dispelling the idea that the pandemic is over.

Speaking in a radio interview on Wednesday, Mr. Johnson said, “The most important thing is for people to recognize that the current situation still calls for a lot of caution and for people just to remember that the virus is still out there, that a lot of people have got it.”

Mr. Johnson was pushing against euphoria of the sort splashed on the front page of Wednesday’s Daily Mail. It quoted an unnamed senior government minister declaring, “Covid is all over bar the shouting.”

Elian Peltier contributed reporting

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mg fiyatgaziantep escort bayanGüvenilir bahis SiteleriBalgat escortÇankaya escortCebeci escortDemetevler escortDikmen escortEryaman escortEsat escortEtlik escortKeçiören escortKızılay escortKolej escortRus escortSincan escortYenimahalle escortAtaşehir escortanadolu yakası escortAnadolu yakası escortAtaşehir escortAtaşehir escortKadıköy escortKadıköy escortÜmraniye escortÜmraniye escortBostancı escortBostancı escortbostancı escortpostegroadana escortadana escort bayanafyon escortacarkent escortacibadem escortadalar escortafyon escortalanya escort bayanalanya escortantalya escort bayanantalya escortartvin escortartvin escortbeylikdüzü escortbeylikdüzü escortbeylikdüzü escortbeylikdüzü escortbodrum escortbolu escortbolu escortburdur escortbursa escortbursa escortçanakkale escortçanakkale escortçeşme escortdidim escortdiyarbakır escortdiyarbakır escortedirne escortedirne escortelazığ escortelazığ escorterzincan escorterzincan escorterzurum escorterzurum escortbodrum escortbursa escortbursa escorteskişehir escorteskişehir escortgaziantep escortgaziantep escortgaziantep escortgiresun escortgiresun escortgümüşhane escorthatay escorthatay escortısparta escortısparta escortkars escortkastamonu escortkastamonu escortkayseri escortkayseri escortkıbrıs escortkıbrıs escortkonya escortkonya escortkuşadası escortkütahya escortkütahya escortmalatya escortmalatya escortmanisa escortmanisa escortmardin escortmardin escortmarmaris escortmersin escortnevşehir escortnevşehir escortniğde escortniğde escortordu escortordu escortrize escortrize escortsakarya escortsakarya escortsamsun escortsamsun escortşanlıurfa escortşanlıurfa escortsinop escortsinop escortsivas escortsivas escorttekirdağ escorttekirdağ escorttrabzon escorttrabzon escortuşak escortvan escortvan escortyalova escortyalova escortyozgat escortyozgat escortzonguldak escortzonguldak escortCoinbar girişSafirbet girişcratosslot girişAsyabahis girişTempobet girişMarsbahis girişBetebet girişVdcasino girişVevobahis girişBetper 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escortBostancı EscortBeyoğlu Escortsuadiye escorterenköy escortbostancı escortanadolu yakası escortavrupa yakası escortBeylikdüzü EscortBeşiktaş Escortanadolu yakası escortBayrampaşa EscortBaşakşehir Escortümraniye escortBakırköy Escortkadıköy escortBahçelievler Escortbostancı escortBağdat Caddesi Escortataşehir escortBağcılar Escortcevizli escortatalar escortmaltepe escortAvrupa Yakası Escortkartal escortmaltepe escortAvcılar EscortAtaşehir Escortümraniye escortsupertotobetrestbet girisbetpas girisbetbabayurtdisiaugenoperationbotox bruisinghepsibahisrexbetsuperbetinbetsatbets10romabettarafbetbetparkhilbetonbahisbahsegelbahigowinxbetelitbahisdinamobetbetmatiktimebetgebze escortleopard honeyAnkara escortUlus escortTunalı escortTandoğan escortSıhhiye escortRus escortMamak escortMamak escortGölbaşı escortCinsel sağlık ürünleriCinsel performans ilaçlarıCialis fiyatCialis 20 mg fiyatCialis 100 mg fiyatCialis 30 lu tablet fiyatViagra fiyatViagra 100 mg fiyatViagra 30 lu fiyatViagra 4 lü tablet fiyatıVega 100 mgVega 100 mg fiyatVega 100 mg eczaneKamagra jelKamagra Jel fiyatKamagra jel eczaneSertleştirici haplarGeciktirici ürünlercialiscinsel sağlık ürünleribayan azdırıcı fiyatkadın azdırıcı damlasertleştirici ilaçlarcialis fiyatviagra fiyatpenis büyütücükamagra jelgeciktirici spreycialis 20 mgcialis 100 mgviagra 30 luen iyi penis sertleştirici ilaçsertleştirici haplarelazığ escort bayanhasta yataklarıkent switch fiyatKeno Club Sigaraparliament aqua bluemarlboro double fusionGauloises Sigarakent switchdjarum blackLeader SigaraAnadolu yakası escortAtaşehir escortBostancı escortErenköy Escortavrupa yakası escortAtaköy EscortAvcılar EscortBahçeşehir Escortözel escortlaranal escortçıtır escortelit escortAnadolu Yakası escortAtaşehir escortbağdat caddesi escortBostancı escortGöztepe Escortİstanbul EscortKadıköy EscortKartal EscortKurtköy EscortMaltepe EscortPendik EscortŞerifali EscortTuzla EscortÜmraniye escortÜsküdar EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortAtaşehir escortBostancı EscortGöztepe EscortAvrupa Yakası EscortAksaray escortAtaköy EscortAvcılar Escortİstanbul EscortAtaşehir Elit EscortAtaşehir Esmer EscortAtaşehir Genç EscortAtaşehir Olgun EscortAtaşehir Sarışın EscortAtaşehir Şişman EscortAtaşehir Sınırsız EscortAtaşehir Ucuz EscortAtaşehir Yabancı EscortAteşehir Escort BayanBağdat Caddesi EscortBağdat Caddesi Olgun EscortBağdat Caddesi Sarışın EscortBağdat Caddesi Şişman EscortBağdat Caddesi Ucuz EscortBağdat Caddesi Yabancı EscortBostancı Elit EscortBostancı Çıtır EscortBostancı EscortBostancı Esmer EscortBostancı Olgun EscortBostancı Sarışın EscortBostancı Yabancı EscortGöztepe EscortGöztepe Genç EscortGöztepe Olgun EscortGöztepe Şişman EscortGöztepe Sınırsız EscortGöztepe Ucuz EscortKadıköy Anal EscortKadıköy Elit EscortKadıköy EscortKadıköy Eskort BayanlarKadıköy Genç EscortKadıköy Yabancı EscortKartal Çıtır EscortKartal EscortKartal Eskort BayanlarKartal Esmer EscortKartal Sarışın EscortKartal Sınırsız EscortKartal Ucuz EscortKaynarca EscortKaynarca Genç EscortKaynarca Olgun EscortKaynarca Şişman EscortKurtköy EscortKurtköy Escort BayanKurtköy Ucuz EscortKurtköy Yabancı Escort BayanMaltepe Anal EscortMaltepe EscortMaltepe Genç EscortMaltepe Olgun EscortMaltepe Şişman EscortPendik EskortPendik Eskort BayanlarPendik Sarışın EscortPendik Şişman EscortPendik Sınırsız EscortPendik Ucuz EscortTuzla Anal EscortTuzla Elit EscortTuzla EscortTuzla Yabancı EscortÜmraniye EscortÜmraniye Masöz EscortÜmraniye Olgun EscortÜmraniye Ucuz Escortepoksi zeminepoksi zemin kaplamaepoksi yol çizgisişişli escortAcıbadem Escortİçerenköy EscortKozyatağı EscortKüçükyalı EscortKadıköy EscortKartal EscortMaltepe EscortPendik EscortKurtköy EscortŞerifali EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortKadıköy EscortAtaşehir EscortBostancı EscortAtaşehir EscortKadıköy EscortKurtköy EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortAtaşehir EscortBostancı EscortKadıköy EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortKadıköy EscortAtaşehir EscortBostancı EscortMaltepe EscortGöztepe EscortPendik EscortErenköy EscortGöztepe EscortSuadiye EscortGöztepe EscortMaltepe EscortŞerifali EscortKartal EscortKurtköy EscortPendik EscortKurtköy EscortPendik EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortKartal EscortMaltepe EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortKartal Escort BayanKurtköy Escort BayanMaltepe Escort BayanPendik Escort BayanAnadolu Yakası EscortKartal EscortKurtköy EscortMaltepe EscortPendik EscortTuzla EscortKurtköy EscortPendik EscortTuzla EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortMaltepe EscortKartal EscortBostancı EscortÜmraniye EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortKadıköy EscortAtaşehir EscortTuzla EscortGebze EscortAydınlı EscortMutlukent EscortPendik EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortKurtköy EscortÜmraniye EscortBostancı EscortKartal Escort BayanPendik Escort BayanKurtköy Escort BayanMaltepe EscortAnadolu Yakası EscortBostancı EscortKartal EscortMaltepe EscortÜmraniye Escortbağdat caddesi escortgöztepe escortistanbul escortkartal escortkurtköy escortmaltepe escortpendik escorttuzla escortüsküdar escortataköy escortavcılar escort bayanavrupa yakası escortbahçeşehir escortbakırköy escortbeşiktaş escortbeylikdüzü escorterenköy escortetiler escortgöztepe escortikitelli escortkartal escortkurtköy escortmaltepe escortmecidiyeköy escortpendik escortşirinevler escortşişli escortsoğanlık escortataşehir escortkaynarca escortümraniye escortgebze escorttuzla escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortavrupa yakası escortatalar escortcevizli escortescort bayanmaltepe escortbeylikdüzü escortavcılar escortesenyurt escortbahçeşehir escortşirinevler escortataköy escortbeylikduzuescortev.comescort beylikdüzüWhatsapp aerobeylikdüzü eskortbahariye escortmoda escortsex hikayeleriadana escortadıyaman escortafyon escortağrı escortaksaray escortamasya escortankara escortantalya escortantep escortardahan escortartvin escortaydın escortbalıkesir escortbartın escortbatman escortbayburt 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